Friday, February 22, 2013

Top Twenty (2/22)

RankingDeltaTeamRating
1Florida135
2Indiana133
3Michigan114
4+3Gonzaga111
5-1Kansas111
6-1Louisville107
7+2Wisconsin107
8Syracuse106
9-3Ohio St.105
10+1Duke101
11+3Michigan St.96
12Oklahoma St.95.1
13-3Pittsburgh94.9
14+2Iowa93
15NRSaint Louis90.4
16NRKansas St.89.5
17+2Georgetown89.4
18-5Minnesota89.4
19-2Miami (FL)88.5

No change in the Top Three from last week, which surprises me a bit.  Indiana performed about as expected, while Florida over-performed against Auburn and under-performed against Missouri, with the result that they treaded water at the top of the rankings.  (Michigan State moved up in large part by outplaying Indiana in the 2nd half of the loss.)  The Billikens, who were hanging just off the bottom of the Top Twenty last week, vaulted all the way to #15 based on strong wins against Charlotte and VCU.  St. Louis gets Butler tonight in an important A-10 matchup.  The PM favors Butler by a mere 1.5, so it should be a good game. The biggest surprise move is KSU, vaulting upwards after wins over mediocres WVU and Baylor.

Still a big gap between Florida/Indiana and the rest of the field.  They could well meet up in the Championship game if they start in opposite halves of the bracket.

AP Top Ten Matchups this Saturday:

#2 Miami (FL) @ Wake Forest:  Miami by 7
San Diego @ #3 Gonzaga:  Gonzaga by 24
Arkansas @ #5 Florida: Florida by 17
#11 Georgetown @ #8 Syracuse:  Syracuse by 10
TCU @ #9 Kansas:  Kansas by 25
Seton Hall @ #10 Louisville:   Louisville by 17

It looks to be a day of blowouts, although the Miami game might be interesting.  Georgetown-Syracuse is being touted as the big matchup, but it's likely not going to be that competitive.  Syracuse is significantly better than Georgetown and playing at home, and the combination is likely too much for the Hoyas to overcome.

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