Friday, February 1, 2013

PM Top Twenty (2/1)


#MoveTeamScore
1
Florida144
2+1Indiana132
3+1Michigan130
4-2Kansas124
5
Ohio St.112
6+3Gonzaga106
7-1Syracuse106
8-1Louisville105
9-1Creighton102
10
Minnesota100
11+3Pittsburgh99.95
12-1Duke99.3
13-1Wisconsin98.1
14-1Cincinnati95.1
15+3Arizona93.4
16+4Kansas St.91.8
17-2Iowa89.7
18-1Oklahoma St.89.1
19-3VCU87.4
20NRN.C. State85.9

Florida remains in the #1 spot this week, with 30 point wins this week over Mississippi State and South Carolina. A bigger test comes up on Saturday when they face Ole Miss. Ole Miss is #16 in the AP poll but has dropped to #44 in the PM's ratings, so it should be an routine win for Florida and the last week for Ole Miss in the AP Top Twenty.

The big winner this week is Kansas State, jumping four places even though they lost last Saturday to Iowa State.  They're benefiting from their great strength of schedule.  Pittsburgh, Arizona and Gonzaga make significant leaps with strong wins or good losses.  Pittsburgh is a good example of the latter -- losing to Louisville by only 3 at Louisville is a strong positive.

The big loser this week is VCU, tumbling three spots after a bad loss to La Salle at home.

Predictions for Saturday's Top Twenty-Five games:
#3 Indiana by 8 over #1 Michigan
#2 Kansas by 9.5 over Oklahoma St.
#4 Florida by 15 over #16 Ole Miss
#5 Duke by 7 over Florida State
Pittsburgh by 2.5 over #6 Syracuse
#7 Gonzaga by 18 over San Diego
#8 Arizona by 8 over Washington St
#9 Butler by 15 over Rhode Island
#10 Oregon by 3 over California
#11 tOSU by 13 over Nebraska
#19 NC State by 3 over #14 Miami (FL)
#15 Wichita State by 4 over UNI
#17 Missiouri by 19 over Auburn
Oklahoma by 1/2 over #18 Kansas St
#20 New Mexico by 13 over Nevada
The power of the home court is evident in the Indiana, Pittsburgh, and NC State games. 

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