St. Mary's over Middle Tenn. St.The last game is basically a coin flip.
N.C. A&T over Liberty
Boise St. over La Salle
James Madison over Long Island
St. Mary's is by far the class of this grouping. If we ignore their early-season neutral court losses, they've only lost to #1 Gonzaga (three times) and at University of Northern Iowa in a game that was postponed for a day due to weather. Gonzaga beat them consistently by 10+ points, so I don't think they'll be this year's Cinderella. Still, if they beat Middle Tennessee State they'll probably give Memphis all they can handle.