Top Twenty (3/10) and Predictions

1	Louisville		31.10		0.65%
2	Arizona		30.18		-0.46%
3	Iowa		29.88		-0.57%
4	Duke		29.72		-0.47%
5	Oklahoma St.		29.69		-0.13%
6	Michigan		29.58		0.61%
7	Creighton		29.44		-0.37%
8	Villanova		29.38		0.20%
9	Ohio St.		29.24		-0.03%
10	Florida		29.14		0.83%
11	Michigan St.		29.09		0.28%
12	Kansas		29.01		0.21%
13	Kentucky		28.90		-0.52%
14	Iowa St.		28.80		-0.24%
15	UCLA		28.71		-0.73%
16	Cincinnati		28.62		-0.07%
17	Wisconsin		28.60		-0.35%
18	Gonzaga		28.53		NEW
19	Arkansas		28.49		-0.21%
20	Arizona St.		28.47		-0.32%

The regular season Top Twenty ends with Louisville atop the leaderboard after strong showings against SMU and Connecticut this week.  But the biggest winner was Florida, who jumped four spots after crushing South Carolina and Kentucky.  UCLA took the biggest hit following a bad loss at Washington State.

It's interesting to compare the computer rankings to the AP ranking.  Wichita State is probably going to get a #1 seed for the tournament, so this could be the year that a #16 beats a #1.  And Oklahoma State might not get an invite despite being the in the top twenty of most computer polls.

PREDICTIONS

It's conference tournament week, so the marquee matchups won't happen till later in the week and aren't scheduled yet.  Only a couple of games currently stand out:

Notre Dame vs. Wake Forest (Notre Dame by 1)

An early-round ACC matchup between two teams that are statistically nearly identical.

Utah State vs. Colorado State (CSU by 2)

These two teams are the Notre Dame - Wake Forest equivalents in the Mountain West.

Indiana vs. Illinois (Indiana by 3.5)

These two teams are the Notre Dame - Wake Forest equivalents in the B1G.  They split their previous two meetings (although the Illini needed OT to win in Urbana) so this is the rubber match.

Maryland vs. FSU (Maryland by 3)

After surprising UVa, Maryland gets one more chance at a win on its way out of the ACC.  FSU needs to get on a roll in the ACC Tournament to have a shot at getting into the NCAA Tournament.