Kaggle & HP are hosting our second annual NCAA March Mania prediction competition. All methods, flavors, credos, and styles of prediction are legal, guessing included. Here's how it works:The home page for the competition is here.
- You're given team-level data going back three decades, and are welcome to use whatever data you want
- We have a historical "warm up" stage so you can get used to the data format and have some motivation to work on the problem before March
- On Selection Sunday (when teams are announced), we wipe the leaderboard and collect 2015 predictions
- Entries are judged on the log loss of predicted probabilities for every possible matchup in the tournament.
- We update scores as the games unfold
I'll also remind everyone that I'll be hosting the annual Machine Madness Competition. Machine Madness has been going on since 2010. Unlike the Kaggle competition, you make one entry into a Yahoo pool and compete under the usual pool rules. So the strategy is very different from the Kaggle competition. And you're probably not going to win either competition, so it's worth it to take a few extra minutes and join the Machine Madness competition as well :-)